Growing Disaffection and disgust with MAGA candidates among Republican supportive voters is captured in Arizona’s voter data.
This report analyzes voter behavior in Arizona, highlighting shifts within the GOP base from the 2020 presidential election to the 2022 midterms, using Cast Vote Record (CVR) data. It defines the Disaffection Index and the Disgust Index and then documents an increase among Republican supportive voters in both indices. The result indicates growing disenchantment and cross-party voting. The findings suggest a challenging landscape for MAGA-aligned candidates in 2024.